4/14/2022

Ufc 227 Prelim Predictions

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Ufc 227 Prelim Predictions Rating: 4,7/5 934 reviews

A UFC card is more than the main event, with the main card, prelim fights, and early prelim fights, you can see up to 15 UFC fights on fight night and our Expert UFC handicappers spend hours researching each one, to bring you the best UFC predictions tonight. Feb 15, 2021 UFC Vegas 19 undercard preview: Complete online breakdown, predictions for first five (of nine) 'Prelims' matches on ESPN+ this weekend (Sat., Feb. 20, 2021) in Las Vegas: Landwehr vs.

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Ultimate Fighting Championsh caps off a roller coaster year with some quality violence, as elite Welterweight strikers Stephen “Wonderboy” Thompson and Geoff Neal headline the promotion’s final event of the year this Saturday (Dec. 19, 2020). Down at Bantamweight, Jose Aldo attempts to rebound from his destructive loss to Petr Yan against Marlon Vera, while Welterweight slugger “Khaos” Williams looks for his third consecutive first-round knockout against Brazilian wild man Michel Pereira.

Despite several cancelations and reschedulings, we’ve still got eight “Prelims” undercard bouts to set the ESPN+ main card stage. Here’s the first batch ...

135 lbs.: Aiemann Zahabi vs. Drako Rodriguez

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Aiemann Zahabi (7-2) — brother of legendary trainer Firas — entered UFC with six first-round finishes under his belt and enjoyed a successful debut against Reginaldo Vieira. He’s yet to taste victory since, suffering a knockout loss to Ricardo Ramos and subsequent decision loss to Vince Morales.

This will be his first fight in 19 months and just his second in the last three years.

Wins in his first three King of the Cage appearances led Drako Rodriguez (7-1) to a title fight against future UFC competitor Tony Gravely, who overpowered him with wrestling for a late finish. Three fights later, he took on prospect Mana Martinez on “Contender Series,” catching him in a contract-winning triangle choke midway through the first round.

He went undefeated (13-0) as an amateur before turning professional in 2017.

This would be a difficult task for Zahabi even at the best of times, as he lacks to wrestling to grind Rodriguez down the way Gravely did and doesn’t seem to have a notable edge on the feet. To defeat a well-rounded, well-seasoned finisher like Rodriguez after such a layoff looks to be beyond the Canadian’s capabilities.

Zahabi’s got a chin on him and Rodriguez is willing to chase subs off of his back, so the former surviving on the feet and leaning on top control to eke out a decision isn’t totally out of the question. It is, however, far likelier that Rodriguez lands the heavier shots and dictates the ground exchanges to claim a debut victory.

Prediction: Rodriguez via unanimous decision

185 lbs.: Tafon Nchukwi vs. Jamie Pickett

Three consecutive amateur knockouts gave way to three consecutive pro knockouts for Tafon Nchukwi (4-0), one of which came over recent Octagon signee William Knight. This led him to “Contender Series,” where he wiped out Al Matavao with a vicious head kick to earn a contract.

He faces a three-inch reach deficit and a two-inch height disadvantage.

The first two bids for Jamie Pickett (11-4) on “Contender Series” went poorly, as he suffered a submission loss to Charles Byrd and a decision loss to Punahele Soriano. The third time proved the charm, resulting in an impressive second-round knockout of Jhonoven Pati that earned him a contract.

He has knocked out eight professional foes and submitted one other.

Nchukwi would have been better served with a developmental contract than a direct invitation to the Octagon. He’s clearly a terrifying physical specimen with some nice tricks on the feet, but there remains work to be done. I’m also not sure Middleweight is the best place for him, as he was painfully slow even at 205 pounds.

Even with those misgivings, however, I like him to win here. Pickett has a lot of the skills that Matavao used to great effect, namely his movement and long-distance offense, but his fight with Soriano showed that he can also be backed to the fence with unfortunate ease. If Nchukwi simply presses forward consistently and works the body, he’ll catch Pickett circling sometime in the second round.

Prediction: Nchukwi via second-round technical knockout

125 lbs.: Jimmy Flick vs. Cody Durden

Wrote this two weeks ago when they were first booked to fight. Waste not, want not ...

Jimmy Flick (15-5) — two fights removed from a loss to future UFC competitor Ray Rodriguez — needed just 38 seconds to choke out Greg Fischer and claim the LFA Flyweight title. His grappling prowess showed itself again on “Contender Series,” where he choked out unbeaten Nate Smith in a contract-winning effort.

Thirteen of his professional wins, including all of them since 2011, have come by submission.

Seven finishes in seven consecutive wins carried Cody Durden (11-2-1) to a late-notice Octagon debut against Chris Gutierrez this past August. He spent nearly the entire first round attached to the favorite’s back, but found himself unable to secure takedowns in the second and third rounds, resulting in a draw.

Predictions

Though the taller man by one inch, he gives up 3.5 inches of reach.

There’s two ways this fight can go: either we get an incredible ground battle between a phenomenal submission ace and a pedigreed wrestler, or we get an awful standup slog. Luckily for us, I’m thinking the latter; both men are far more comfortable initiating the wrestling than trying to sprawl-and-brawl.

Not that it’s necessarily the best idea for Durden — he’s the better takedown artist, sure, but Flick’s front chokes, sweeps and scrambling skills more than offset that difference. Whether by putting Durden on his back or punishing him for attempting to do the same in return, he gets his arms around Durden’s neck before long.

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Prediction: Flick via first-round submission

155 lbs.: Rick Glenn vs. Carlton Minus

Rick Glenn (21-6-1) upset Bellator veteran Georgi Karakhanyan for the World Series of Fighting (WSOF) Featherweight title in 2014, only to lose it to Lance Palmer in his first defense. After three more wins, “The Gladiator” entered the Octagon in 2016, ultimately amassing a 3-3 record with notable wins over Gavin Tucker and Dennis Bermudez.

This marks his first fight in more than two years.

After a career spent almost exclusively in Alaska FC, Carlton Minus (10-2) unsuccessfully stepped up on short notice against Rick Story in Professional Fight League (PFL). Following an 18-month layoff, he returned to AFC with a decision win, leading to a UFC debut loss against Matthew Semelsberger in August.

Though the shorter man by two inches, he’ll enjoy a 4.5-inch reach advantage.

Minus had better have learned something against Semelsberger, because Glenn offers that same sort of unchecked aggression. Though he figures to be the larger man, as he’s dropping from 170 while Glenn moves up from 145, his inability to blunt Semelsberger’s offense with his superior technical boxing bodes ill.

If Glenn is rusty and winds up stuck on the end of Minus’ jab, “Clutch” has a shot at a decision win. Otherwise, Glenn outworks him on the feet and mixes in a takedown or two to claim his first uncontroversial win since 2017.

Prediction: Glenn via unanimous decision

Four more UFC Vegas 17 “Prelims” undercard bouts remain to preview and predict, including an intriguing Middleweight fight pitting Karl Roberson against Dalcha Lungiambula. Same time tomorrow, Maniacs!

Remember that MMAmania.com will deliver LIVE round-by-round, blow-by-blow coverage of the entire UFC Vegas 17 fight card this weekend, starting with the ESPN+ “Prelims” matches, which are scheduled to begin at 4 p.m. ET, then the remaining main card balance on ESPN+ at 7 p.m. ET.

To check out the latest and greatest UFC Vegas 17: “Thompson vs. Neal” news and notes be sure to hit up our comprehensive event archive right here.

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The undisputed king of the Middleweight division faces a heretofore unstoppable engine of destruction this Saturday (Sept. 26, 2020) when Israel Adesanya takes on Paulo Costa in the Octagon’s return to “Fight Island” in Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates. UFC 253 will also see Dominick Reyes and Jan Blachowicz lock horns to determine the first Light Heavyweight champion not named Jon Jones or Daniel Cormier since 2011, as well as potential Flyweight dynamite between Kai Kara-France and Brandon Royval.

UFC 253’s six “Prelims” undercard bouts are split 4-2 between ESPN2/ESPN+ and Fight Pass. Let’s get the latter out of the way ...

Ufc 227 prelim predictions week 9

Ufc 227 Prelim Predictions 2019

265 lbs.: Juan Espino vs. Jeff Hughes

Juan Espino (9-1) — Robert Whittaker’s second Heavyweight pick on The Ultimate Fighter (TUF) 28 — rewarded his coach’s confidence by taking out Team Gastelum’s top two Heavyweights in Ben Sosoli and Maurice Greene. The wins sent him to the Finale, where he ended Justin Frazier’s Cinderella run via first-round submission.

Now 39, he ends a nearly 22-month layoff on Saturday.

Four months after defending his LFA title with a decision over Maurice Greene, Jeff Hughes (10-3) battered Josh Appelt on “Contender Series” to earn himself a contract. He’s yet to claim victory in the Octagon, going 0-2 (1 NC) and most recently dropping a decision to Raphael Pessoa in Oct. 2019.

He has knocked out four opponents as a professional.

What’s frustrating about making this pick is that Hughes is capable of far more than he’s shown in the Octagon. He’s a very capable boxer and should be able to handily overpower Espino on the feet, as the latter’s striking strategy generally boils down to “avoid at all costs.” On top of that, Espino is nearing 40 and hasn’t laced up the gloves since 2018.

In short, if Hughes fights up to his abilities, he should demolish “El Guapo.”

But that’s the rub: Hughes hasn’t fought up to his abilities. There is no excuse for his performance against the technically inferior Pessoa, a fight in which Hughes threw a measly 77 significant strikes in 15 minutes. If that fight served as a wake-up call and Hughes comes out guns blazing, he could pull the upset, but the likelier outcome sees him dragged to the mat and choked out in short order.

Prediction: Espino via first-round submission

205 lbs.: Khadis Ibragimov vs. Danilo Marques

Khadis Ibragimov (8-3) entered the Octagon with some hype behind him, having won and defended the M-1 Light Heavyweight title without ever seeing the judges during his time in the promotion. UFC success continues to elude him, however, as he’s dropped three straight and is coming off a brutal knockout loss to Roman Dolidze in July.

He’ll have one inch of reach on Danilo Marques (9-2) despite standing three inches shorter.

Marques was 7-1 as a professional when he got a chance to headline an LFA show, where he dropped a competitive split decision to Myron Dennis. He got back on track with two more wins, but has been out of action for 31 months.

His eight finishes are split evenly between knockouts and submissions.

It says a lot about Ibragimov’s current stock that UFC had to dredge up an unknown fighter who hasn’t fought since 2018 to give him a reasonably winnable fight. I’ve already said plenty about the way Ibragimov neglects his to-notch grappling in favor of subpar brawling, so I won’t harp on about that anymore, but even that should be enough to carry him past Marques. The Brazilian offers mediocre wrestling and very little else, so unless he’s spent these past couple years reinventing himself from the ground up, he’s going to get walloped while fruitlessly attempting to overpower Ibragimov’s judo.

Much can change in that sort of time, of course, and I’m long past underestimating Ibragimov’s ability to shoot himself in the foot. Still, based on what I’ve seen, he sprawls-and-brawls to an early finish.

Prediction: Ibragimov via first-round technical knockout

Four more UFC 253 “Prelims” bouts remain to preview and predict, including the debut of an elite Featherweight striker and the latest barnburner from Brad Riddell. Same time tomorrow, Maniacs.

Ufc 227 Prelim Predictions Week 9

Remember that MMAmania.com will deliver LIVE round-by-round, blow-by-blow coverage of the entire UFC 253 fight card this weekend, starting with the early ESPN 2/ESPN+ “Prelims” matches online, which are scheduled to begin at 6 p.m. ET, then the remaining undercard balance (also on ESPN 2/ESPN+) at 8 p.m. ET, before the PPV main card start time at 10 p.m. ET on ESPN+.

Ufc 227 Prelim Predictions Odds

To check out the latest and greatest UFC 253: “Adesanya vs. Costa” news and notes be sure to hit up our comprehensive event archive right here.