DAYTONA BEACH, Fla. (AP) — Michael McDowell was glued to Brad Keselowski’s bumper, watching and waiting for his chance to win the Daytona 500. Joey Logano was the leader, the laps were winding. When you bet on the favorite you get worse payout odds on your bet since they’re more likely to win. The team with a negative number (like -110) is the favorite. The number next to the minus sign is the amount you must bet to win $100 in profit. If the number is -110, you must bet $110 to win $100.
Getting action on a game can add a thrill factor that is hard to find in any other aspect of life. Making some money while doing it, well, it doesn’t get much better than that. But what happens when you jump onto your favorite sportsbook and they bombard you with a series of numbers (odds) which are meant to represent the chances of your team winning, when all it really looks like is math on steroids!
If this is how you feel when your trying to place a wager, read on. The following is a simple guide on how to read sports odds and give yourself the best chance of taking home some cash.
What does +200 mean? +200 is a specific set of odds attached to a given sports event. These are in the form of ‘American’ odds’. The +200 represents the amount a bettor would win if they had wagered $100. A profit of $200 and a total payout of $300. Other types of odds are Decimal and Fractional.
What Types of Odds Do Sportsbooks Use?
Globally sportsbooks use one of three types of odds:
- American
- Fractional
- Decimal
There are positives and negatives in the use of all of them. One thing is for sure, if you are going to bet on sport, you will run into one of these odds formats and you NEED to know how to read, understand and eventually capitalise on them.
This article will focus heavily on American odds.
How to Read American Odds
The basis of American odds is that they reflect two different aspects to the bet:
- in the case of the underdog: how much money a gambler will win if they bet $100,
- in the case of the favorite: how much a gambler needs to bet to win $100.
Quite a big difference between the two, and definitely a little tricky to navigate at first.
The following is an example of the moneyline market using American Odds, which was offered by a sportsbook during the NBA playoffs
Note:As the Portland Trail Blazers are the home team they are listed second in this market. Interestingly in many international or offshore sports the home team is listed first. Perhaps in this case the home court advantage is what has led the sports books to install the Trail Blazers as the favoured team.
We can tell Portland has favoritism as the odds have a minus sign at the front. Any time a team has minus sign out front, the bettor knows they will be receiving less than a 2 – 1 payout figure. In fact in this case, to win $100 wagering on the Trail Blazers you would need to stake $128.
In this particular example, the Oklahoma City Thunder are the outsider or underdog as they have odds with a plus sign at the front (plus money). This means if you bet $100 on OKC then you would collect $105 profit, a total return of $205.
Clearly the bookmakers considered the game to be potentially close and therefore odds were reasonably tight. As it turned out the Trailblazers dominated the second half and ran out convincing winners 114 – 92. Moneyline bettors who took Portland, go to bed with a tidy profit. In actual fact the margin of victory is irrelevant as the Moneyline requires just one condition be met, a win.
How to Do the American Odds Math?
Despite the American odds looking confusing at first sight, the underlying math is not too difficult. Having said that it could be much more user friendly.
Another key point to remember is that American odds do not include the original stake in the calculation. They only reflect the profit from the wager. The original stake needs to be added to reflect the total payout or total return figure.
Referring back to the previous example the following math applies:
The issue with this way of reporting odds is that the bettor has to do more than one level of calculation themselves. While it’s all fairly straightforward it does affect the user experience negatively.
How are American Odds Different to Decimal Odds?
The decimal odds system, which is being increasingly used by sports bookmakers across the globe, removes the extra step of calculation required by the bettor when American Odds are in use. It is a much simpler method to offer odds on the identical market and immediately gives a total return or payout figure by using one simple multiplication.
The NBA example used earlier in the article using decimal odds would read as follows:
The payout calculation is where the ease of decimal odds is highlighted:
Underdog:
Favorite:
It is clear that the decimal method is a much simpler way for sport bettors to calculate their potential winnings than than the American odds system.
Another downside to using American odds is that they are almost unusable when working with parlay betting. A parlay or multiplier is where a bettor takes classic bet types and parlays several of these into one wager. In order to multiply the individual odds to create the parlay payout figure, the moneyline is first converted to decimal odds. Highlighting the extra step of math sportsbooks require bettors to do when they solely offer odds in the American format.
It is hoped that one day soon most sports books will offer decimal odds instead of American odds. As legalized sports betting explodes in popularity across the US and more mobile sports betting platforms come online, it is hoped that at the very least, functionality to switch between types of odds is added to all betting apps. After all, sports betting is about entertainment, and user experience should be the number one focus from all corporate bookmakers.
How to Identify Sportsbook’s Margin When Using American Odds
Sportsbooks clearly need to make money to continue to operate and therefore it is understandable that they will take a cut along the way. Understanding when that cut is too large is critical in giving yourself the best chance of turning a profit.
When dealing with American odds on 50/50 markets like total points or point spread the margin is quite simple to recognise.
For example the market on an NBA game may be offering an over/under points total of +/-214.5 points.
In this market, without any bookmaker edge, the odds would read +100 for each option. That is a doubling of the bettors money based on the market essentially being a coin flip. $100 invested would return a profit of $100. Clearly this is not the case in reality. If you spot a market like this through a sportsbook promotion (a rare occasion), then load up!
The sportsbook is only offering -110 meaning a bettor would need to invest $110 to return a profit of $100. This equates to approximately a 4.5% margin (vig) for the book. To be profitable long term the bettor would have to correctly pick this market 53% of the time. A tall order.
Some books will offer a smaller vig, for example -108 but others will be less generous and wind their margin out to numbers like -112. These numbers are often seen in live betting markets due to the greater perceived risk the sportsbook take on with live markets.
Minus 500 Odds Against
It is best, as a rule, to avoid markets where the market is skewed too far in the favor of the book.
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The Game Starts Now
Before you hit the confirm bet button on your mobile sportsbook make sure you are fully aware of what price you are actually buying. While American Odds can at times be confusing there is still an art to spotting and cashing in on value. Best of luck!
Good Luck and as always, gamble responsibly!
© Keyur Khamar, Keyur Khamar, Keyur KhamarBRADENTON, FLORIDA - FEBRUARY 28: Collin Morikawa celebrates and smiles after his three stroke victory during the final round of the World Golf Championships-Workday Championship at The Concession on February 28, 2021 in Bradenton, Florida. (Photo by Keyur Khamar/PGA TOUR via Getty Images)
One of the best weeks on the golf calendar is upon us, with the 2021 Players Championship upon us at Pete Dye’s masterpiece, TPC Sawgrass. Though we never quite know what to expect and who will play well at this nuanced, ultra-difficult design on the site of a former swamp, the finishing holes always seem to produce a dramatic ending, and with a loaded field this week we’d expect the same.
Forty-eight of the top 50 players in the world (minus Brooks Koepka and Matthew Wolff) will tee it up at The Players, with a balanced top part of the odds board. It seems like oddsmakers can’t quite determine who has an advantage here, with Dustin Johnson (12-1) the slight favorite over last week’s winner Bryson DeChambeau (14-1), Rory McIlroy (16-1) and Jon Rahm (16-1). Of that group, Rory has the best record, having lifted the most-recent trophy at TPC Sawgrass in 2019 with last year’s cancelation. Though DJ is on an absolute tear, he has just one top-10 finish in 11 appearances at TPC Sawgrass, and it came in 2019.
Some interesting names follow below, with Xander Schauffele (20-1) and Justin Thomas (20-1) being offered at the lowest odds we’ve seen from them in recent memory. Recent winner Collin Morikawa (22-1) would be an attractive bet, having just won the WGC at Concession in Bradenton, Fla., and Patrick Cantlay (22-1) has also been playing some great golf.
What we know about TPC Sawgrass: Your entire game needs to be on, and trouble lurks around every corner—with 17 water hazards presenting ample opportunities to make a big number. We were joined by Matthew Fitzpatrick on this week’s episode of “Be Right,” our betting podcast, and Fitzpatrick goes into detail about what you need to do well to play well at TPC Sawgrass (though he’s still searching for all the answers, having broken 70 just once in 12 rounds played here. But Fitzpatrick, ranked 16th in the world, enters this week on one of the hottest stretches of anybody in the world, with a win in Dubai to end 2020 and three top-15 finishes on the PGA Tour entering this week. Perhaps he’s a sleeper at (40-1) you might like this week?
Here’s a complete list of odds, as of Monday afternoon, from our friends at William Hill:
Players Championship 2021 odds (courtesy of William Hill):
Dustin Johnson: 12-1
Bryson DeChambeau: 14-1
Rory McIlroy: 16-1
Jon Rahm: 16-1
Xander Schauffele: 20-1
Justin Thomas: 20-1
Webb Simpson: 22-1
Collin Morikawa: 22-1
Patrick Cantlay: 22-1
Tony Finau: 25-1
Jordan Spieth: 25-1
Viktor Hovland: 25-1
Hideki Matsuyama: 30-1
Tyrrell Hatton: 33-1
Tommy Fleetwood: 35-1
Scottie Scheffler: 35-1
Patrick Reed: 35-1
Daniel Berger: 35-1
Jason Day: 35-1
Sungjae Im: 40-1
Matthew Fitzpatrick: 40-1
Paul Casey: 45-1
Joaquin Niemann: 50-1
Cameron Smith: 50-1
Louis Oosthuizen: 55-1
Adam Scott: 55-1
Will Zalatoris: 60-1
Christiaan Bezuidenhout: 66-1
Jason Kokrak: 66-1
© Provided by Golf Digest 1305870067Mike Ehrmann
Lee Westwood: 70-1
Sergio Garcia: 70-1
Harris English: 70-1
Max Homa: 70-1
Billy Horschel: 70-1
Abraham Ancer: 70-1
Justin Rose: 80-1
Corey Conners: 80-1
Kevin Na: 90-1
Francesco Molinari: 90-1
Marc Leishman: 100-1
Russell Henley: 100-1
Lanto Griffin: 100-1
Sam Burns: 100-1
Si-Woo Kim: 100-1
Carlos Ortiz: 100-1
Kevin Kisner: 100-1
Cameron Tringale: 125-1
Branden Grace: 125-1
Cameron Davis: 125-1
Bubba Watson: 125-1
Chris Kirk: 125-1
Rickie Fowler: 125-1
Ryan Palmer: 125-1
Ian Poulter: 125-1
Shane Lowry: 125-1
Victor Perez: 150-1
Brendon Todd: 150-1
Alex Noren: 150-1
Andrew Putnam: 150-1
Kevin Streelman: 150-1
Keegan Bradley: 150-1
Byeong Hun An: 150-1
Matt Kuchar: 150-1
Emiliano Grillo: 150-1
Talor Gooch: 150-1
Sebastian Munoz: 150-1
Charley Hoffman: 175-1
© Provided by Golf Digest 1299221282Warren Little
Robert MacIntyre: 175-1
Wyndham Clark: 175-1
Maverick McNealy: 175-1
Brian Harman: 175-1
Gary Woodland: 175-1
Phil Mickelson: 175-1
Matt Jones: 200-1
Patton Kizzire: 200-1
Zach Johnson: 200-1
Chez Reavie: 200-1
Henrik Norlander: 200-1
Cameron Champ: 200-1
Luke List: 200-1
Bernd Wiesberger: 200-1
Jhonattan Vegas: 200-1
Ryan Moore: 200-1
Richy Werenski: 200-1
Doug Ghim: 200-1
Mackenzie Hughes: 200-1
Henrik Stenson: 200-1
Brendan Steele: 200-1
Russell Knox: 200-1
Harold Varner III: 200-1
Danny Willett: 250-1
Adam Hadwin: 250-1
Tom Lewis: 250-1
Matthew NeSmith: 250-1
Martin Laird: 250-1
Charl Schwartzel: 250-1
Dylan Frittelli: 250-1
Lucas Glover: 250-1
Aaron Wise: 250-1
James Hahn: 250-1
Kyle Stanley: 250-1
J.T. Poston: 250-1
Rory Sabbatini: 250-1
K.H. Lee: 250-1
Charles Howell III: 250-1
Patrick Rodgers: 250-1
Cameron Percy: 300-1
Brandt Snedeker: 300-1
Tom Hoge: 300-1
Keith Mitchell: 300-1
Adam Long: 300-1
Michael Thompson: 300-1
Nick Taylor: 300-1
Doc Redman: 300-1
Joel Dahmen: 300-1
Jason Dufner: 300-1
Sepp Straka: 300-1
Stewart Cink: 300-1
Peter Malnati: 300-1
Scott Piercy: 300-1
Nate Lashley: 300-1
Mark Hubbard: 350-1
Minus 500 Odds
C.T. Pan: 350-1
Anirban Lahiri: 400-1
Troy Merritt: 400-1
Hudson Swafford: 400-1
Brian Stuard: 400-1
Sam Ryder: 400-1
Pat Perez: 400-1
Andrew Landry: 400-1
Adam Schenk: 400-1
Scott Stallings: 400-1
Bo Hoag: 400-1
Austin Cook: 400-1
Vaughn Taylor: 400-1
Brice Garnett: 400-1
Danny Lee: 400-1
Graeme McDowell: 400-1
Denny McCarthy: 400-1
Beau Hossler: 500-1
Harry Higgs: 500-1
Tyler McCumber: 500-1
Brian Gay: 500-1
Tyler Duncan: 500-1
What Does Minus 100 Odds Mean
Jimmy Walker: 500-1
Robert Streb: 500-1
Sung Kang: 500-1
Minus 500 Odds College Football
Robby Shelton: 500-1
Xinjun Zhang: 500-1
Scott Brown: 500-1
Ryan Armour: 500-1
Minus 500 Odds Against
Jim Herman: 750-1
Jerry Kelly: 1,000-1
Scott Harrington: 1,000-1